Today’s Impeach-O-Meter: Is It Good Politics to Help Rich People Buy More Yachts? (Slate)

Today’s Impeach-O-Meter: Is It Good Politics to Help Rich People Buy More Yachts?

The Impeach-O-Meter is a wildly subjective and speculative daily estimate of the likelihood that Donald Trump leaves office before his term ends, whether by being impeached (and convicted) or by resigning under threat of same.

There’s some drama going on right now involving the details, but it looks like all 52 Republican Senators want to pass a version of the Republican tax cut bill. (The House has already passed its own.) While the bill is subject to further revision and is quite complicated, here are some statements and consensus predictions about it which we can be fairly confident in:

Assuming it passes, how does this play out politically? Few voters will be paying higher taxes right away because of it, so there probably won’t be an immediate/reflexive pocketbook backlash. The economy is also doing well enough on a macro level right now; if that continues, the GOP can say the tax bill helped.

On the other hand, the long-term reality (or at least the reality experienced by everyone except right-wing-media consumers who would never be persuaded to vote Democrat anyway) will likely be that taxes go down on the wealthy while the deficit goes up by a lot and wages stay flat. This fits nicely into the Democrats’ emerging message about an oligarchy of corporations and idle rich people sucking up money that should be going to actual working Americans; meanwhile, it seems like it should undercut Trump’s vaunted populist appeal to blue-collar middle American swing voters. Initial polling has moreover found the bill, at this point, to be historically unpopular. Raise the meter!

Today’s meter level is up two points.


via Slate

November 30, 2017 at 05:42PM