Rise of the younger voter: Millennials’ growing power
New research shows that for the first time, younger voters outvoted their elders in 2016.
According to the latest data from the Pew Research Center, millennials and those in Generation X—voters in the 18-35 and 36-51 age ranges—edged out baby boomers and members of the so-called silent and greatest generations in the November 2016 election. The difference was slight—fewer than 2 million votes—but it was a marked difference from previous elections.
Part of that shift is for an obvious reason: older generations are dying off. But exactly how younger voters choose candidates and which candidates they’ll vote for in the future, especially in November 2018, is a question worth exploring.
The good news? Polls before and after the presidential election show that younger voters lean toward Democrats and away from Donald Trump, who earned only 36 percent of millennials’ votes. Millennials say they prefer Democratic candidates in 2018 by 30 percentage points, one of the reasons The Hill reports that the majority in the House of Representatives is now “up for grabs.” (We’re obviously not including in those numbers the kinds of millennials who took part in the Nazi and white supremacist violence in Charlottesville, Virginia; they’re not on the Blue team.)
Millennials are also running for office in YUGE numbers. More than 60 percent of those running for office who received Kickstarter funding from the website Crowdpac are millennials,
The bad news? When it comes to midterm elections, young voter dropoff has historically been significant compared with their elders. For example, voters 18-29 made up 13 percent of the electorate in 2014, compared with 19 percent in 2012. “Minorities and Millennials, the groups most alienated from Trump, are traditionally the constituencies least likely to vote in midterm elections,” says a story from The Atlantic.
Polls consistently show voters favoring Democrats in upcoming midterm elections, some by as much as 14 percentage points. But it’s crucial that Democratic candidates, their campaigns, and the party infrastructure make sure that young voters get to the polls in 15 months.
via Daily Kos http://bit.ly/2rOSQ8N
August 13, 2017 at 11:17AM